Incredible as it may seem and although up to his neck in tax issues, Senate investigations and God knows what else Donald Trump is back as the favourite to be the next President of the United States.
In the first polls that matter since Joe Biden beat Trump, the Republicans have won the Governorship of Virginia and at the time of writing are narrowly ahead in the race for the Governorship of New Jersey. This is a disaster for Biden.
Only 12 months ago he won Virginia by 10% and New Jersey 16%.
It means almost certainly Biden is going to take a tremendous beating in the next year’s mid-term elections for both the Senate and the House of Representatives. That is the end of him as he will no longer be able to get his laws though. He might as well go on holiday for the rest of his presidency.
It will make him a lame duck less than a year into his four-year term of office.
How did this happen?
Anybody who saw him nodding off while listening to delegates at Cop26 in Glasgow-and who can blame with all that hot air around - knows the reason why.
At 78 he lacks the energy for the job. He looks tired, walks slowly and thinks even more slowly.
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But there is also his competence. Getting out of Afghanistan was not the issue. The Afghans had spent two decades learning how to fight but in the end couldn’t be bothered. If they weren’t prepared to battle for their future why should we?
But the reason the Republicans triumphed - and I forecast it will come here - is the teaching of critical race theory (CRT) in schools.
It deals with alleged white racism as not just hostility towards other racial groups-especially African-Americans - but also the passing of laws which had led to alleged oppression of people of colour.
White parents got hot under the collar about such teaching and wanted more control of ability of staff to set such lessons.
Anyway it was hot button in Virginia.
For Trump, watching the Democrats implode must have been a big moment. He has literally been accumulating millions of dollars from his backers for the 2024 White House race.
Is there anybody who doesn’t believe he will win comfortably?
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